Like any sport or betting game, blackjack is surrounded by its own set of superstitions and myths that many players fall into. There are a fair number of players out there that believe in things like the last position at the table is the worst, and that sitting at a table with bad players will hurt your 먹튀검증 chances of winning, both of which are false. Many will also be surprised to know that card counting is not illegal despite the plethora of Hollywood movies saying otherwise. Blackjack players have come up with a whole slew of things to blame their poor luck on but the truth of the matter is that most of them are nothing but myths. Knowing these myths can help you avoid some of the pitfalls that players can sometimes fall into.
Thou Shalt Not Disturb the Order of the Cards
There are a lot of players out there with the misbegotten belief that the order of the cards in the deck is sacred. This lends to the idea that if a new player joins in the middle of the game or if a player surrenders, thus changing the order in which the next cards would have fallen, that the other player’s odds of winning are destroyed.
It is indeed true that a new player or the surrender of a hand will change the order of the cards, but it is not true that this ruins the game for everyone else. A player’s decision to take a card or stay affects the way the cards fall just as much as anything else and affects your chances of winning in the same way as any other variable – that is, the effect is as likely to be good as bad. This myth is generally believed by players who want to blame their poor luck or bad skills on someone else.
Always Assume the Dealer has “10 in the Hole”
This is a blackjack myth that can get you into trouble if you take it too seriously. Many players go by the rule that you should always assume the dealer has “10 in the hole”. What this means is that you add 10 to the value of the up-card the dealer has. If the dealer’s up-card it a 5 you should assume he has a 15. This is a cautious strategy, treating the dealer’s hand as the best it could possibly be. However this is not always a wise move. If you think about it, there are four-times as many cards in the deck that are worth 10 than any other single value. Sounds like a good thing at first, but then you must remember that in the entire deck only 30% are worth 10. This translates into only a 3:7 chance that the dealer actually has “10 in the hole”. This myth should be cast aside because it will hurt you more than help you if you put it into constant practice. While it may work some of the time it most certainly will not work all of the time.
Bad Players at the Table Hurt Your Chances
It’s a common belief that having bad players at your table will hurt your odds of winning. If a player makes a wrong move like hitting when he should have stayed, or staying when he should have hit, some believe that the flow of the game gets destroyed and the order of the cards is thrown out of whack. The truth is that from a mathematical point of view, a bad player’s choice has no more effect on the outcome of the game than a good
one. At worst a bad player throws off your concentration, which is ultimately your own fault.
Thou Shalt Not Sit in the Last Position
Another superstition at the blackjack table is that the last position at the table, third base, is the one responsible for everyone else’s luck. It is quite common at tables for the person in the last seat to become the scapegoat of the game. If the last seat draws one card too many or one card too few, and this results in the dealer winning, it’s the last seat’s fault. For example, say that the last position hits and is dealt a 7 and immediately following that the dealer shows his up-card and then draws one more card which brings him to a total of 21, beating the rest of the players, whereas if the dealer had drawn the 7, it would have caused him to bust. In such a case the last position is sure to be blamed for the rest of the table’s woes. In good times, the third base position does get credit for good outcomes but they get blame more often than praise.
But again, the odds of a player drawing a card that negatively or positively effects the tables is just as likely one way or another – that is, it is just as likely to improve the odds for you as to worsen them. The decisions made by everyone at the table are all equally responsible for any given outcome.
Thou Shalt Always Take Insurance When Dealt a Blackjack
Numerous players are under the impression that they should always take insurance when they have 20 or blackjack and the dealer’s up-card is an Ace. The unfortunate truth of the matter is that insurance is a bad idea
no matter when you take it. Whenever you take insurance you are giving up 13% of your profit, and thus cutting your winnings dramatically. Insurance is pretty much always a sucker’s bet. Insurance sounds like a great idea on paper but really is a losing proposition. Even if you happen to be sitting at a table that accepts insurance, you should not bother with it.
Card Counting is Illegal
This is the most common myth in the blackjack world. Despite what countless movies and books say, counting cards is actually not illegal. Casinos are more than happy to let you believe this myth and are very much obliged to those who have spread it around. This doesn’t mean that counting cards won’t make you unpopular at the casino; it will and it may get you kicked out, but it is nonetheless legal. I am sure that the phrase “card counting” brings to mind the story of the MIT students that made millions in Las Vegas casinos by creating a highly effective card counting team. While you may not be looking at millions you will see better winnings by counting cards. Counting cards is one of the most effective strategies you can use in blackjack and can take the house’s edge down to next to nothing. Though it seems a simple practice when reading instructions on how to card count, putting it into practice in real-time is a different story.
The Dealer Must Obey the Law
A lot of novice players are under the mistaken impression that the dealer must adhere to the rule that must hit on 16 and stand on 17 in all circumstances. This is only mostly true. Dealers in many casinos have the freedom to draw on a soft 17 hand (i.e., one that includes an Ace and totals 17 if the Ace counts as 11), but are indeed obligated to stay on a hard 17. Make sure you can spot the difference.
The reason behind this rule is that even if the dealer busts, if you bust as well, the dealer still wins. The system is always biased in the dealer’s favor even with the dealer restrictions in place.
Judging the Dealer’s Hand
The dealer in a blackjack game has a card concealed, which makes it somewhat harder to figure out how to play against him than if he had both cards showing like the players do. It’s this fact which generates the idea of always assuming the hole card is a 10 or face card. The hole card is only revealed if the dealer has a blackjack or at the end of the hand if no player has a blackjack. Still, there are some clues that can be derived as to what’s hidden down there. These clues mostly give you information relevant when your first move is to hit. Taking a third card gives you a new total score, and judging whether to hit or stand (which are now your only options on subsequent rounds) is made the same way as on the first move, based on your hand and what you think the dealer’s may be. But you may have some extra information about the dealer’s hand to judge with.
First, although this isn’t exactly comforting, if the dealer has a blackjack the hole card will be revealed immediately. It’s too late for you to do anything about it when that happens, of course. Similarly, if the dealer goes bust, that will also be revealed immediately and again, it’s too late to affect the outcome with your decisions then – although it means you win instead of losing.
Your first decision (assuming you get to make one, which most of the time you do – dealer blackjack happens only a fraction of hands) must be made just on the odds and a guess as to the probable value of the hole card. It’s the second round and after where the clues come. After you have made your first choice (to stand, hit, double, split, or surrender), on any choice except stand and surrender you will likely have to choose whether to take a fourth card or stand.
This is where the dealer’s actions can help you make a decision. Remember that the dealer must take a card if he has a hard 16 or less, and cannot take a card if he has 17 or higher. If the dealer stands, you know he has a really good hand, at least a 17. If the dealer takes a card, you know he started with at best a 16. You also know that his third card hasn’t busted him (because if it did that would be revealed at once).